The business of ruin: How Sudan’s war economy fuels an endless conflict and what to do about it
Munzoul A. M. Assal The war in Sudan is often described through its humanitarian consequences that include, among others, mass displacement, famine, disease, and the collapse of state institutions. These tragedies are painfully true, devastating, and demand urgent attention. Yet, focusing only on human suffering obscures a deeper reality: the conflict persists not only because […]
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Publications
The business of ruin: How Sudan’s war economy fuels an endless conflict and what to do about it
Munzoul A. M. Assal The war in Sudan is often described through its humanitarian consequences that include, among others, mass displacement, famine, disease, and the collapse of state institutions. These tragedies are painfully true, devastating, and demand urgent attention. Yet, focusing only on human suffering obscures a deeper reality: the conflict persists not only because...
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Sudan’s war is becoming its partition
Protecting political possibility in Sudan By Abdul Mohammed Sudan is approaching a point at which continued war is becoming indistinguishable from partition. No borders have been agreed and no partition declared. Yet it is being constructed every day as institutions, war economies, communities and competing external alliances on either side of the front lines are...
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Why a Sudanese–Sudanese Dialogue Has Yet to Begin
An Introductory Discussion Paper on the Core Political Disagreements Elwathig Kameirkameir@yahoo.com Cairo, August 12, 2026 Much has been written about how to end Sudan’s war. Far less attention has been paid to a more fundamental question: why have Sudanese political and civilian actors themselves struggled to even begin a meaningful national dialogue? Sudan has never suffered...
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Understanding changing gold Exports
This paper analyzes a radical shift in Sudan’s gold exports away from the UAE and towards Egypt between 2024 and 2025, as revealed by data from the Central Bank of Sudan’s Foreign Trade Statistical Digest, and reported by Bloomberg in April 2026. The UAE’s share of total official exports declined from 99% to 56% between 2024 and...
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The political economy of future Bank
This commentary is a response to STPT’s recently published paper, “Future Bank: Sudan’s Monetary Partition.” It offers a complementary analysis focused on two main points: first, an assessment of the Future Bank’s compliance with international banking standards—finding that it is not really a bank and not compliant with international standards. Second, it proposes immediate, actionable...
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